Five Reasons Prices Will Continue Going Up and You Should Buy Now!

Five Reasons Prices Will Continue Going Up and You Should Buy Now!

There is no certainty anywhere in the world and this includes the East Contra Costa Real Estate Market of Brentwood, Oakley, Antioch, Pittsburg, Discovery Bay and others. But I think Prices will continue going up.

Take a look at my Post on how much Home Prices in East Contra Costa County went up in 2012.

Five Reasons to Buy Now!

  1. Although there is a Shadow Inventory there are also Shadow Buyers. These are Buyers that cannot even get into the market because there is not enough inventory. This includes Investors with limited cash or those that are waiting for the market to settle down; First time buyers with little money down, FHA Buyers, VA Buyers and others. When we finally run out of Cash Buyers these Buyers will step into the market.

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  2. Interest Rates are about as low as they can get. If for some freak reason they go lower you can refinance. But don’t let housing prices go up while waiting for lower prices – not going to happen.
  3. Quantitative Easing: This is basically the government printing money to pump up the economy. This will cause inflation. There is no way around it. Lock in and buy now. It will not be cheaper later.
  4. The Shadow Inventory will only come out once the prices are up. It does not appear that the banks will flood the market. Banks are working harder with home owners to avoid foreclosure too. Many people underwater are holding back from short sales waiting for the market to go up.
  5. Generally speaking owning is cheaper than renting. If you are an Investor can still buy an investment property and get a positive cash flow. This was unheard of a few years ago.

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If you have questions about Real Estate, the Real Estate Market or Homes in Brentwood, Homes in Oakley, Homes in Antioch, Homes in Discovery Bay, Homes in Pittsburg or any Homes in East Contra Costa County give me a call at 925-260-4321.

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What is Happening in the East Contra Costa Real Estate Market?

What is Happening in the East Contra Costa Real Estate Market?

Over the past year we have seen an explosion of Real Estate Prices. Home Prices in East Contra Costa County cities of Bay Point, Pittsburg, Antioch, Oakley, Brentwood, Discovery Bay, Byron, Knightsen, and Bethel Island.

This jump in Home Prices started in about April or May of last year. This is just my gut feeling without looking hard at the numbers. But so as not to be too arbitrary I wanted to look at the market changes from year to year.

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I took a look at Home Sales in January 2012 and Home Sales in January 2013.

In January 2012 there were 333 Sales and in January 2013 only 248 sales. I have heard many experts say that the slow down in the number of sales indicates a market down turn. This is flat out wrong. Sales are going down due to lack of inventory, the lack of inventory is driving prices up.

Average price went from $219,377 to $279,063; about a 27% jump. The Median went from $208,000 to $269,650; about a 33% increase. The Average Price Per SF jumped from $113.06 to $133.93; about a 18.5% increase.

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There are a number of sub-markets based on location within East Contra Costa County, type of home, size of home, and others. One brief thing I will say is my gut feeling is people have been buying larger and larger homes, for one reason the smaller homes are not available, this means price per SF will rise slower as larger homes are cheaper on a SF basis.

I do not think prices will fall, even when we get more inventory (subject of future post).

Let me know if you want a detailed market report on any particular location or type of home in East Contra Costa County.

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Are Brentwood First Time Home Buyers being hurt by the hot market and low appraisals? 8/12

Are Brentwood First Time Home Buyers being hurt by the hot market and low appraisals?

Brentwood First Time Buyers face an up hill battle right now (August 2012) for a couple of reasons.

First off there are a lot of cash buyers in this market. Sellers want the easy sale and will go for good cash offers.

The second reason is a little more complex. When I talk about First Time Home Buyers what I am really talking about is FHA Buyers with a minimum down payment, VA Home Buyers with little or nothing down and anyone else with a minimal down payment.

Home price are rising and most reasonably priced homes sell for over asking price. Many buyers with low down payment could afford to pay more and even bid up the price; but the appraisals freeze them out. Lenders will not loan for more than a home appraises for.

Currently appraisers are very conservative due to government regulations and a lot of unfair blame for the current housing crises. They are also under a lot of pressure from the banks to not appraise high. There is no mechanism to allow for an up market or appreciation in the current rules.

When a home does not appraise for the amount of contract the contract either has to be renegotiated, canceled, or the buyer has to pay the difference out of pocket.

As an example: A home is listed for $200,000.00. The FHA Buyer with only 3.5% down bids $230,000.00 for the property. The property appraises for $210,000.00. The lender will only loan on a value of $210,000.00. The buyer will need to come up with $20,000.00 out of pocket. Most First Time Home Buyers do not have $20,000.00 extra to buy a home.

The really sad thing is that as soon as the Cash Buyer pays $230,000.00 or some with substantial cash pays the difference the other homes just like it will now appraise at that value.

So what is a First Time Home Buyer to do? Well there are a number of ways for an aggressive but financially limited First Time Home Buyer to get a home; even in an up market. However, those methods are for my clients to know. If I shared them with everyone they would not be as effective.

First Time Home Buyers should e-mail me or call 925-260-4321.

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